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Angri vs ASD Ugento

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rossi F.
68' Event
Giannini M.
70' Event
Grisley S.

AI Match Summary

ASD Ugento in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Ugento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Angri
15%
Draws
59%
ASD Ugento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASD Ugento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASD Ugento lately — more wins on the board than Angri.
  • Model gives ASD Ugento a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Angri Clean Sheet 13%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri ASD Ugento
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs ASD Ugento
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Angri
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

ASD Ugento Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grisley S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 14 / 100
ASD Ugento 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri ASD Ugento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Ugento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASD Ugento conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Angri found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Angri remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Angri VS ASD Ugento
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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ASD Ugento

(Away)
11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1
Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1
ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2
ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)