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Angri vs Francavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Giannini M.
45' Event
Gentile C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Angri and Francavilla finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Angri
20%
Draws
63%
Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Angri haven't matched Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Francavilla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Angri Clean Sheet 21%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Francavilla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Francavilla
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Angri
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gentile C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 10 / 100
Francavilla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francavilla let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Angri found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Angri has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Francavilla
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Francavilla

(Away)
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2
Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3
Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0
Francavilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)