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Anguiano vs Agoncillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Calavia J.
73' Event
Cordoba Monterrosa M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Anguiano and Agoncillo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Anguiano
35%
Draws
10%
Agoncillo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Anguiano come out ahead of Agoncillo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Anguiano a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 13%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Agoncillo
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Anguiano
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Anguiano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba Monterrosa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Calavia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 84 / 100
Agoncillo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Agoncillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguiano found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Agoncillo conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Anguiano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Agoncillo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

Agoncillo

(Away)
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Agoncillo
1 : 2
Arnedo
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDFC La Calzada 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Haro Deportivo 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
3 Berceo 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
4 CD Calahorra 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
5 Anguiano 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Comillas CF 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Cenicero 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 San Marcial 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Alfaro 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Pradejon 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Varea 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
12 Yague 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
13 Oyonesa 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Casalarreina CF 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
15 Calasancio 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
16 Agoncillo 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
17 Vianes 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
18 River Ebro 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)