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Anguiano vs Castillo CF Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Castillo CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anguiano
35%
Draws
32%
Castillo CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Castillo CF haven't matched Anguiano's recent run of results.
  • Anguiano are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Anguiano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Castillo CF, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 20%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Castillo CF
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 15
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Anguiano vs Castillo CF
2:3
May 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Castillo CF vs Anguiano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 36 / 100
Castillo CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Castillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguiano scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Anguiano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Castillo CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Castillo CF

(Away)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Binissalem 1
Reus FC Reddis 0
TBD -
Atletico Monzon -
Villanovense 3
Teruel 3
TBD -
San Roque de Lepe -
Los Barrios 3
Manchego Ciudad Real 2
Mensajero 1
Amurrio Club 4
CD Tropezon 5
Candas CF 2
TBD -
C. Reyes -
CD Ourense 5
Tudelano 2
Portugalete 3
Universidad Oviedo 6
CD Alcala 2
Moratalla 0
TBD -
Caravaca -
Castillo CF 4
Anguiano 2
Llanes 0
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 1
Parla 1
TBD -
Mallorca B -
La Nucia 4
Motril 2
TBD -
Lagun Onak -
Real Avila 1
Almeria B 1
TBD -
RSD Alcala -
Cartagena La Union 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
Mexico 1
SD Noja 3
Hellin Deportivo 1
Montaneros 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Burgos CF 2
Elgoibar 1
Mutilvera 0
Mahones 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 1
TBD -
Tenerife B -
Torrevieja 1
Haro Deportivo 2
Yeclano 1
Cacereno 3
UM Escobedo 3
Zaragoza B 4
Santboia 0
SD Tenisca 1
L Hospitalet 3
Santanyi 4
CD Calahorra 0
Jerez Industrial 3
La Muela 2
Mirandes 7
Cerceda 2
Pena 3
Semi-finals
Binissalem 1
Atletico Monzon 0
Villanovense 2
San Roque de Lepe 5
Los Barrios 5
Amurrio Club 5
CD Tropezon 2
C. Reyes 3
CD Ourense 3
Universidad Oviedo 2
CD Alcala 0
Caravaca 4
Castillo CF 4
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 0
Mallorca B 3
La Nucia 1
Lagun Onak 1
Real Avila 3
RSD Alcala 5
Cartagena La Union 0
SD Noja 1
Hellin Deportivo 2
Izarra 2
Burgos CF 2
Mahones 3
Malaga B 5
Tenerife B 5
Haro Deportivo 1
Cacereno 4
Zaragoza B 2
SD Tenisca 3
Santanyi 0
Jerez Industrial 3
Mirandes 5
Pena 0
Final
Binissalem 1
San Roque de Lepe 2
Los Barrios 0
C. Reyes 2
CD Ourense 2
Caravaca 3
Castillo CF 2
Mallorca B 2
La Nucia 0
RSD Alcala 2
SD Noja 1
Izarra 2
Mahones 3
Tenerife B 1
Cacereno 3
SD Tenisca 0
Jerez Industrial 2
Mirandes 4