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Anguiano vs Varea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Barahona A.
13' Event
Fernandez I.
45' Event
Tamayo S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Anguiano and Varea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Anguiano
35%
Draws
20%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Anguiano a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 68%
Varea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Varea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
1:2
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
2:1
May 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamayo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 86 / 100
Varea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguiano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Anguiano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Varea has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Varea
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)