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Anguiano vs Villegas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Montalvo A.
44' Event
Mba T.
69' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

Anguiano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Anguiano
35%
Draws
19%
Villegas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anguiano lately — more wins on the board than Villegas.
  • Anguiano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Anguiano here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 68%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Villegas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Villegas
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Anguiano
0:2
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Anguiano
0:3
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Villegas
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Villegas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Villegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Montalvo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mba T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 59 / 100
Villegas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Villegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anguiano scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Villegas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Anguiano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Villegas
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
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Villegas

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)