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Ankara Demirspor vs Bursaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Akbunar H.
Assist: Aydogdu S.

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor in this 2. Lig Red Group matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ankara Demirspor
6%
Draws
90%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bursaspor have won more games recently than Ankara Demirspor.
  • Model gives Bursaspor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 13%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ankara Demirspor Bursaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Bursaspor
0:1
Dec 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Ankara Demirspor
4:0
Feb 18, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Bursaspor
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Ankara Demirspor
0:2
Apr 4, 1971 Super Lig
Bursaspor vs Ankara Demirspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ankara Demirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbunar H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ankara Demirspor 10 / 100
Bursaspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ankara Demirspor Bursaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ankara Demirspor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ankara Demirspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bursaspor has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ankara Demirspor VS Bursaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52