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Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Osmanlı Stadyumu, Ankara
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ankaraspor host Kastamonuspor in the 2. Lig White Group. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ankaraspor at 1.46 goals for, 1.75 against; Kastamonuspor at 0.93 for, 1.82 against. Head-to-head, Ankaraspor have won 2 to Kastamonuspor's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.31, favoring Ankaraspor. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ankaraspor
15%
Draws
42%
Kastamonuspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ankaraspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ankaraspor at 1.46 per game, Kastamonuspor at 0.93.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ankaraspor Clean Sheet 18%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ankaraspor Kastamonuspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.46 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Ankaraspor
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Ankaraspor
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ankaraspor 32 / 100
Kastamonuspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ankaraspor Kastamonuspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastamonuspor let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ankaraspor scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kastamonuspor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ankaraspor VS Kastamonuspor
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ankaraspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Ankaraspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
04 Oct
Aksaray Bld.
0 : 1
Ankaraspor
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
19 Sept
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Ankaraspor
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
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Kastamonuspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Musspor
1 : 0
Kastamonuspor
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
4 Guzide Gebzespor 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
5 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
6 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 6 2 1 3 14:14 7
11 Soma Spor 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 6 1 1 4 2:7 -2
18 Adanademirspor 6 2 1 3 6:9 -41
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)