Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Annagh vs Ards

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Annagh and Ards finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Annagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Annagh
15%
Draws
27%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Annagh come out ahead of Ards on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Annagh taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Annagh here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Annagh Clean Sheet 15%
Ards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annagh Ards
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Annagh
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annagh 84 / 100
Ards 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annagh Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Annagh remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Annagh scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Ards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Annagh VS Ards
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Annagh

(Home)
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0
Moyola
Page 1 of 7

Ards

(Away)
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 7 5 2 0 20:10 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
4 Harland & Wolff 7 5 0 2 14:7 15
5 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
6 Glenavon 7 3 2 2 17:12 11
7 Warrenpoint 7 3 1 3 15:12 10
8 Ballinamallard 7 3 1 3 12:10 10
9 Ards 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
10 Institute 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
11 Loughgall 7 2 3 2 11:14 9
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
16 Rathfriland Rangers 7 0 0 7 5:19 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)