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Annagh vs Ards - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Annagh Logo

Annagh

2 - 1
FT
Ards Logo

Ards

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Annagh and Ards finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Annagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Annagh
30%
Draws
23%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Annagh come out ahead of Ards on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Annagh taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Annagh here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Annagh Clean Sheet 20%
Ards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annagh Ards
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Annagh
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ards
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annagh 85 / 100
Ards 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annagh Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Annagh scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ards has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Annagh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annagh VS Ards
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Annagh

(Home)
31 Oct
Loughgall
0 : 3
Annagh
24 Oct
Annagh
5 : 1
Queens University
20 Oct
Annagh
3 : 4
Limavady
17 Oct
Armagh
1 : 3
Annagh
10 Oct
Annagh
1 : 1
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Ards

(Away)
31 Oct
Ards
1 : 1
Newry City
24 Oct
Armagh
1 : 1
Ards
20 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Oct
Ards
0 : 2
Institute
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 15 10 4 1 37:16 34
2 Glenavon 13 8 3 2 34:16 27
3 Newington FC 13 8 2 3 29:22 26
4 Newry City 15 6 5 4 23:24 23
5 Institute 13 6 3 4 23:18 21
6 Ballinamallard 15 6 3 6 20:20 21
7 Queens University 14 6 2 6 24:18 20
8 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
9 Ards 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
10 Loughgall 14 4 5 5 18:26 17
11 Harland & Wolff 13 5 1 7 19:22 16
12 Rathfriland Rangers 14 5 1 8 15:25 16
13 Moyola 14 4 3 7 16:27 15
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 15 2 5 8 13:25 11
16 Armagh 14 1 6 7 12:22 9
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)