Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Annagh vs Portstewart

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2023/2024
Tue, Oct 3, 2023
4 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Quigley P.
85' Event
Doyle B.
98' Event
Young C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Annagh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Annagh
6%
Draws
4%
Portstewart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portstewart haven't matched Annagh's recent run of results.
  • Annagh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Annagh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Annagh, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Annagh Clean Sheet 20%
Portstewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annagh Portstewart
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Annagh vs Portstewart
4:1
Mar 19, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Annagh vs Portstewart
1:0
Nov 13, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Portstewart vs Annagh
4:0
May 4, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Annagh vs Portstewart
0:5
Jan 23, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Portstewart vs Annagh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portstewart Compare

Top Goalscorer Quigley P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annagh 85 / 100
Portstewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annagh Portstewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portstewart let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Annagh found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Portstewart has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Annagh VS Portstewart
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Annagh

(Home)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
07 Jul
Dungannon
3 : 0
Annagh
01 May
Crusaders
2 : 2
Annagh
28 Apr
Annagh
2 : 3
Crusaders
24 Apr
Harland & Wolff
4 : 0
Annagh
Page 1 of 6

Portstewart

(Away)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
16 Aug
Moyola
5 : 3
Portstewart
02 Aug
Portstewart
0 : 9
Coleraine
19 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 1
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena-
TBD-
Ballymacash1
Lisburn Distillery4
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Limavady6
Tobermore1
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Portadown-
TBD-
Banbridge0
Coagh Utd1
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
Annagh-
TBD-
Portstewart2
Rathfriland Rangers1
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Moyola1
PSNI0
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
Dollingstown2
Armagh1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
1/16-finals
Ballymena4
Lisburn Distillery0
Coleraine2
Bangor FC1
Limavady2
Dundela0
Glenavon2
Dergview1
Portadown4
Coagh Utd1
Warrenpoint0
Crusaders5
Annagh4
Portstewart1
Loughgall3
Ballyclare2
Dungannon3
Newington FC1
Cliftonville3
Institute0
Carrick Rangers4
Moyola1
Harland & Wolff1
Newry City2
Ballinamallard1
Ards5
Larne9
Knockbreda1
Dollingstown0
Glentoran2
Linfield3
Queens University1
1/8-finals
Ballymena1
Coleraine2
Limavady0
Glenavon1
Portadown2
Crusaders1
Annagh0
Loughgall1
Dungannon1
Cliftonville0
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City3
Ards3
Larne5
Glentoran1
Linfield2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine2
Glenavon3
Portadown2
Loughgall0
Dungannon4
Newry City2
Larne2
Linfield3
Semi-finals
Glenavon0
Portadown1
Dungannon1
Linfield2
Final
Portadown1
Linfield3