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Stadium Background

Annecy vs Montpellier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Parc des Sports, Annecy
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Kouadio J.
24' Event
Megnan-Pave L.
Assist: Pays N.
35'
Guyot L.

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Annecy
15%
Draws
57%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier have won more games recently than Annecy.
  • Montpellier are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montpellier here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Annecy Clean Sheet 15%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annecy Montpellier
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Montpellier
0:3
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Montpellier
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Annecy
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annecy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Pays N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Megnan-Pave L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annecy 11 / 100
Montpellier 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annecy Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Annecy scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Montpellier has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Annecy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annecy VS Montpellier
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Annecy

(Home)
06 Nov
Boulogne
3 : 0
Annecy
31 Oct
Annecy
0 : 3
Montpellier
23 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 3
Annecy
16 Oct
Annecy
1 : 2
Nancy
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier

(Away)
06 Nov
Montpellier
2 : 3
Metz
31 Oct
Annecy
0 : 3
Montpellier
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1
Red Star
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0
Grenoble
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 12 9 1 2 25:11 28
2 Nancy 12 8 1 3 17:9 25
3 Montpellier 12 7 3 2 18:9 24
4 Reims 12 5 6 1 24:15 21
5 Pau 12 6 2 4 16:13 20
6 Dijon 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
7 Metz 12 4 5 3 20:19 17
8 Red Star 12 5 2 5 14:17 17
9 Annecy 12 5 1 6 14:18 16
10 Dunkerque 12 4 3 5 17:17 15
11 Guingamp 12 4 2 6 16:18 14
12 Boulogne 12 2 7 3 10:8 13
13 Rodez 12 4 1 7 17:23 13
14 Nantes 12 3 3 6 14:18 12
15 Clermont 12 1 8 3 11:15 11
16 Sochaux 12 2 5 5 8:15 11
17 Grenoble 12 3 2 7 13:22 11
18 Laval 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)