Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anorga vs CD Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Collado U.
54' Event
Galarza A.

AI Match Summary

CD Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anorga
20%
Draws
47%
CD Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Anorga haven't matched CD Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Vitoria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Anorga Clean Sheet 22%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorga CD Vitoria
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 23
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 1.12 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Anorga
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs CD Vitoria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Collado U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galarza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorga 29 / 100
CD Vitoria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorga CD Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Anorga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Anorga found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

CD Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anorga VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorga

(Home)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

CD Vitoria

(Away)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)