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Anorthosis vs APOEL Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
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Match Events

27' Event
Kiko
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Avramidis I. In: Perez F.
Out: Avramidis I.
46'
Sub
Limnios D. In: Bakasetas A.
Out: Limnios D.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Anorthosis and APOEL finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anorthosis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Anorthosis
30%
Draws
39%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APOEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Anorthosis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on APOEL taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Anorthosis Clean Sheet 16%
APOEL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorthosis APOEL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cyprus League
Anorthosis vs APOEL
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Anorthosis vs APOEL
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Anorthosis
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Cyprus League
Anorthosis vs APOEL
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Anorthosis vs APOEL
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anorthosis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Lopes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

APOEL Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakasetas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorthosis 10 / 100
APOEL 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorthosis APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APOEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: APOEL conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Anorthosis scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Anorthosis remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anorthosis VS APOEL
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorthosis

(Home)
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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APOEL

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)