Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anorthosis vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anorthosis host Pafos in the Cyprus League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Anorthosis have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Pafos's 1.68 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Pafos slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.02) point toward Pafos. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Anorthosis
20%
Draws
57%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pafos have won more games recently than Anorthosis.
  • Model gives Pafos a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Anorthosis Clean Sheet 10%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorthosis Pafos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Anorthosis
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Anorthosis vs Pafos
1:1
Jan 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Anorthosis vs Pafos
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Anorthosis
3:1
Apr 21, 2024 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Anorthosis
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorthosis 10 / 100
Pafos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorthosis Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anorthosis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pafos has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Anorthosis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anorthosis VS Pafos
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorthosis

(Home)
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)