Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ansan Greeners vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Ansan WA Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ansan Greeners play Busan in the K League 2. Busan are favorites here. Recently, Ansan Greeners averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Busan averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Ansan Greeners won 1, Busan won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Ansan Greeners and 1.88 for Busan. This points to a Busan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ansan Greeners
19%
Draws
61%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Ansan Greeners picked up more points recently compared to Busan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Ansan Greeners Clean Sheet 10%
Busan Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ansan Greeners Busan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.69 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
2:3
Jun 7, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Ansan Greeners
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ansan Greeners Compare

Top Goalscorer Chol M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Chan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristian Renato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ansan Greeners 20 / 100
Busan 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ansan Greeners Busan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Busan & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ansan Greeners attacking → ← attacking Busan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ansan Greeners scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Busan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ansan Greeners went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Busan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 51
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan15103233:2033
2Suwon Bluewings15102321:1232
3Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
4Daegu1584332:2028
5Suwon FC1575329:2126
6Hwaseong1574422:1725
7Gimpo FC1566319:1624
8Chungnam Asan1565423:1823
9Cheonan City1547419:1819
10Gyeongnam1554619:2419
11Seongnam1538414:1517
12Yongin FC1537519:2216
13Paju Frontier1542915:2114
14Cheongju15110418:2613
15Ansan Greeners15321015:2811
16Jeonnam1516818:269
17Gimhae15131112:336