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Anthoupoli vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anthoupoli host Ermis Exochis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ermis Exochis have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Anthoupoli have conceded 1.17 and scored 1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Ermis Exochis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Anthoupoli
30%
Draws
33%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anthoupoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Anthoupoli are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Anthoupoli Clean Sheet 16%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anthoupoli Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anthoupoli 75 / 100
Ermis Exochis 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anthoupoli Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anthoupoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Exochis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Anthoupoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Anthoupoli scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Ermis Exochis's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anthoupoli VS Ermis Exochis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anthoupoli

(Home)
08 Apr
Anthoupoli
3 : 1
Anagennisi Schimatariou
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anthoupoli
2 : 0
Proodos Rogon
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Anagennisi Arta
2 : 1
Anthoupoli
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Ethnikos Neou
5 : 2
Ermis Exochis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pierikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AO Trikala 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Elassona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Feraios 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Karitsa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Digenis Neochori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethnikos Neou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Anthoupoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 AE Iraklis Larissa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sarakinos Volos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ermis Exochis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)