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Antigua vs Aurora F.C.

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Pensativo
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Santis O.
8'
Soriano B.
10'
Rosales J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Antigua and Aurora F.C. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Antigua
11%
Draws
9%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Antigua's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Antigua here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Santis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bradley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aurora F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 86 / 100
Aurora F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Aurora F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Aurora F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Antigua remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Aurora F.C.
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219