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Antigua vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antigua host Xelaju in the Liga Nacional. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Antigua have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Xelaju's 1.64 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Xelaju slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 2.19) back Antigua to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Antigua
20%
Draws
51%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Xelaju haven't matched Antigua's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Xelaju a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Xelaju
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xelaju
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xelaju
2:0
Dec 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 10 / 100
Xelaju 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Xelaju conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Antigua went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Xelaju
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 7

Xelaju

(Away)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)