Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antigua vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Ubico J. In: Sanchez J.
Out: Ubico J.
27' Event
Fernandez D.
30'
Vasquez E.

AI Match Summary

Antigua in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Antigua
30%
Draws
18%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Xinabajul.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Antigua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Antigua Clean Sheet 16%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Xinabajul
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Antigua
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
6:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
2:2
Aug 26, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Antigua
2:0
Apr 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva R. L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Xinabajul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 57 / 100
Xinabajul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Xinabajul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Xinabajul has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Antigua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Xinabajul

(Away)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)