Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antofagasta play Deportes Iquique in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Antofagasta averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Deportes Iquique averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Antofagasta won 4, Deportes Iquique won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Antofagasta and 1.19 for Deportes Iquique. This points to a Antofagasta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Antofagasta
23%
Draws
29%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Antofagasta picked up more points recently compared to Deportes Iquique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
4:0
May 11, 2025 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
3:1
Jan 26, 2025 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
2:4
Jun 29, 2024 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
3:1
Jun 23, 2024 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Monreal J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hurtado B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportes Iquique Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 47 / 100
Deportes Iquique 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta Deportes Iquique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Antofagasta or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Antofagasta attacking → ← attacking Deportes Iquique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antofagasta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Deportes Iquique let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Antofagasta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Iquique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283