Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antofagasta vs San Felipe

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Gallegos Panozzo M.
44' Event
Hurtado B.
54' Event
Ramirez S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Antofagasta and San Felipe finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antofagasta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Antofagasta
35%
Draws
32%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Antofagasta's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta San Felipe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Felipe
5:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Felipe
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gallegos Panozzo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Fontana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 67 / 100
San Felipe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Antofagasta found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: San Felipe conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Antofagasta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antofagasta VS San Felipe
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Antofagasta

(Home)
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

San Felipe

(Away)
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0
San Felipe
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1
Cobreloa
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1
San Felipe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 S. Wanderers 24 12 8 4 40:25 44
2 Cobreloa 24 11 9 4 42:27 42
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
10 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
11 Copiapo 24 8 7 9 33:38 31
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 23 5 7 11 15:37 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)