Sport Picks
Antofagasta vs San Felipe
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 
Match Events
43'
43'
Gallegos Panozzo M.
44'
44'
Hurtado B.
54'
54'
Ramirez S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Antofagasta and San Felipe finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antofagasta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Antofagasta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Antofagasta's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antofagasta | San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Felipe
5:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Felipe
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Antofagasta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Antofagasta Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurtado B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Gallegos Panozzo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
San Felipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Fontana A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Antofagasta 85 / 100
San Felipe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Antofagasta San Felipe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ANT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Antofagasta found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: San Felipe conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Antofagasta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Antofagasta VS San Felipe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Antofagasta
(Home) 01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2 Antofagasta
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0 Cobresal
05 Jul
La Serena
2 : 4 Antofagasta
28 Jun
Cobresal
0 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0 Cobresal
21 Jun
Antofagasta
4 : 2 La Serena
07 Jun
Antofagasta
0 : 0 Magallanes
24 May
Antofagasta
1 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
San Felipe
(Away) 01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1 Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34:19 | 33 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 4 | D. Puerto Montt | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21:18 | 29 |
| 5 | San Luis | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Antofagasta | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 26 |
| 7 | U. Espanola | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Magallanes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | 23 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:34 | 16 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 22:33 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12:29 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
