Sport Picks
Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 
AI Match Summary
Antofagasta host San Marcos de Arica in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Antofagasta at 1.87 goals for, 0.97 against; San Marcos de Arica at 1.17 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Antofagasta slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.06, favoring Antofagasta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Marcos de Arica haven't matched Antofagasta's recent run of results.
- Antofagasta are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antofagasta | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Antofagasta scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
San Marcos de Arica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Antofagasta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Antofagasta
(Home)San Marcos de Arica
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
