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Antwerp vs Charleroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Antwerp Logo

Antwerp

3 - 0
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Somers T.
Assist: Renders S.
11'
Ousou A.
27' Event
Porozo S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Antwerp in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antwerp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
57%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Antwerp haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Charleroi a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
3:0
May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Somers T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Helden R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 26 / 100
Charleroi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antwerp's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Charleroi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Antwerp stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Charleroi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
01 Nov
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Antwerp
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Heist
0 : 1
Antwerp
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi

(Away)
01 Nov
Charleroi
5 : 2
RAAL La Louviere
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)