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Antwerp vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antwerp host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Antwerp have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Charleroi's 1.48 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Antwerp have won 0 to Charleroi's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.94) point toward Charleroi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
64%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Antwerp haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Charleroi a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charleroi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Charleroi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1
May 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 14 / 100
Charleroi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antwerp scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Charleroi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Antwerp went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Charleroi
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
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Charleroi

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
2 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)