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Antwerp vs Genk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Valencia A.
Assist: Scott C.
31' Event
Kongolo J.
Assist: Bangoura I.
36'
Compper M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
51%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Antwerp haven't matched Genk's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Genk taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Genk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk
4:4
May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Antwerp
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Antwerp
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuypens E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kongolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durosinmi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 18 / 100
Genk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Antwerp scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Genk let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Antwerp went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Genk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
01 Nov
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Antwerp
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Heist
0 : 1
Antwerp
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
31 Oct
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Genk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
17 Oct
Virton
0 : 2
Genk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)