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Antwerp vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Bosuilstadion
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Tsunashima Y.
Own Goal
38' Event
Nkada T.
Assist: Said R.
42' Event
Bates D.
Assist: Nielsen C.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Antwerp and St. Liege finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Liege.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Antwerp
6%
Draws
90%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Liege come out ahead of Antwerp on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Liege a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp St. Liege
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
0:5
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Said R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nkada T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 10 / 100
St. Liege 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp St. Liege

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antwerp's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Antwerp stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS St. Liege
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723