Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antwerp vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Antwerp Logo

Antwerp

1 - 4
FT
St. Truiden Logo

St. Truiden

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Schelfhout L.
9' Event
Araki R.
28'
Kokubo L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Antwerp and St. Truiden finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Truiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
73%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Truiden come out ahead of Antwerp on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on St. Truiden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp St. Truiden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Truiden
1:4
Feb 28, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Truiden
1:0
Dec 3, 2025 Belgian Cup
Antwerp vs St. Truiden
4:3
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Antwerp
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Antwerp
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Porozo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazdar S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Araki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 26 / 100
St. Truiden 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Antwerp scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

St. Truiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

St. Truiden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS St. Truiden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
Page 1 of 6

St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)