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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

AO Tympakiou

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AO Ilisiakos play AO Tympakiou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. AO Ilisiakos are favorites here. Recently, AO Ilisiakos averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. AO Tympakiou averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, AO Ilisiakos won 1, AO Tympakiou won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 12, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for AO Ilisiakos and 1.19 for AO Tympakiou. This points to a AO Ilisiakos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

AO Ilisiakos

19%

Draws

21%

AO Tympakiou

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: AO Ilisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

AO Ilisiakos picked up more points recently compared to AO Tympakiou.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

AO Ilisiakos Clean Sheet 20%

AO Tympakiou Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AO Ilisiakos	AO Tympakiou
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	7	5
Losses	14	21
Goals Scored	1.22	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

AO Ilisiakos vs AO Tympakiou

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

4:2

Oct 26, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

AO Tympakiou vs AO Ilisiakos

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Ilisiakos 58 / 100

AO Tympakiou 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AO Ilisiakos AO Tympakiou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Ilisiakos Win (1)

Secondary Pick AO Ilisiakos & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AO Ilisiakos attacking → ← attacking AO Tympakiou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AO Ilisiakos scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

AO Tympakiou let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AO Ilisiakos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AO Tympakiou lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 17

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16