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AO Tympakiou vs Aris Petroupolis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025 game between AO Tympakiou and Aris Petroupolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AO Tympakiou
28%
Draws
50%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aris Petroupolis are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aris Petroupolis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AO Tympakiou Clean Sheet 19%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AO Tympakiou Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 4 28
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AO Tympakiou vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs AO Tympakiou
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
AO Tympakiou vs Aris Petroupolis
1:3
Feb 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs AO Tympakiou
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Tympakiou 24 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AO Tympakiou Aris Petroupolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AO Tympakiou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AO Tympakiou's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aris Petroupolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 44 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aris Petroupolis
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marko32228261:2274
2Ethnikos Piraeus32227362:2073
3Nea Ionia32207554:2567
4Chaidari32159836:2454
5Aris Petroupolis321571039:3152
6Atsalenios FC321461243:4348
7Giouchtas321451339:4047
8AO Ilisiakos321451350:4147
9Asteras Kaisarianis321381132:2447
10Kyanos Astir Varis321291140:3345
11Thyella Diastavroseos3211111034:3244
12Agios Nikolaos321351434:3644
13Karavas32761927:5827
14Mandraikos32681834:5126
15Thiva F.C.32752027:5526
16AO Tympakiou32562133:6021
17Rethymniakos32442425:7516