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Aoiz vs AD San Juan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Larrea U.
70' Event
Iriguibel A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aoiz
30%
Draws
47%
AD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AD San Juan have won more games recently than Aoiz.
  • Win probability leans AD San Juan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz AD San Juan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs AD San Juan
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Aoiz
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs AD San Juan
1:2
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs AD San Juan
1:4
Nov 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Aoiz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrea U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AD San Juan Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriguibel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 28 / 100
AD San Juan 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz AD San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD San Juan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aoiz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AD San Juan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Aoiz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS AD San Juan
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
30 Oct
Bidezarra
1 : 1
Aoiz
24 Oct
Aoiz
1 : 1
AD San Juan
18 Oct
Cirbonero
2 : 1
Aoiz
10 Oct
Aoiz
0 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
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AD San Juan

(Away)
30 Oct
AD San Juan
3 : 1
Doneztebe FT
24 Oct
Aoiz
1 : 1
AD San Juan
18 Oct
AD San Juan
4 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Oct
Mutilvera
1 : 0
AD San Juan
03 Oct
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Subiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 9 8 1 0 26:4 25
2 Mutilvera 9 6 3 0 15:3 21
3 Beti Kozkor 9 5 1 3 10:9 16
4 AD San Juan 9 4 2 3 17:10 14
5 Ezcabarte 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Gazte Berriak 9 4 2 3 9:7 14
7 Subiza 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Valle Egues 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
9 Txantrea 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
10 Doneztebe FT 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Aoiz 9 2 5 2 8:7 11
12 Cirbonero 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
13 CD Cantolagua 9 3 0 6 5:20 9
14 CD Beti Onak 9 1 5 3 11:14 8
15 Pamplona 9 1 4 4 7:14 7
16 Huarte 9 1 4 4 7:15 7
17 Cortes 9 1 3 5 4:16 6
18 Bidezarra 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)