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Aoiz vs Cortes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
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Match Events

39' Event
Majo A.
53' Event
Ezpelta I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Aoiz and Cortes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aoiz
30%
Draws
23%
Cortes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cortes come out ahead of Aoiz on wins alone.
  • Aoiz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cortes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 68%
Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Cortes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Cortes
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Aoiz
2:1
Feb 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Aoiz
3:1
Sep 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Cortes
1:2
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Aoiz
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Majo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ezpelta I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cortes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 95 / 100
Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Aoiz found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Aoiz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Cortes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
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Cortes

(Away)
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)