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Stadium Background

Aoiz vs Izarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zubiria U.
40' Event
Diaz Montes M.
51' Event
Hoyos J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Izarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Izarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aoiz
20%
Draws
40%
Izarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Izarra lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 15%
Izarra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Izarra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Izarra
1:4
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Aoiz
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Aoiz
5:1
Oct 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Izarra
2:1
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Aoiz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Irigoyen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubiria U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Montes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 31 / 100
Izarra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Izarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aoiz scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Izarra conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aoiz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Izarra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Izarra

(Away)
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)