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Aoiz vs Mutilvera

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 game between Aoiz and Mutilvera finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aoiz
6%
Draws
4%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aoiz haven't matched Mutilvera's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aoiz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Mutilvera
0:0
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Aoiz
5:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Mutilvera
0:5
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Aoiz
1:0
Feb 26, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Mutilvera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 85 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aoiz's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mutilvera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Aoiz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Mutilvera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Mutilvera

(Away)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD San Juan382311453:1680
2Mutilvera38239678:2878
3Iruna381910967:4567
4Cortes381991050:4166
5Cirbonero381811971:4165
6Txantrea381811951:3165
7Huarte3816101258:4958
8Burlades3815101347:3855
9Oberena381741752:5155
10Murchante3814131139:3955
11Valle Egues381471752:5149
12Pamplona381391645:4848
13Erriberri3812101643:5246
14Lagun Artea381291734:4845
15Valtierrano3811101742:5243
16Idoya3810111734:5541
17Aoiz381091942:6339
18Subiza389111851:7738
19Pena Azagresa386122039:7030
20Lagunak383102520:7319
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)