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Aoiz vs Pena Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
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Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Diaz M.
32' Event
Alonso C.
73' Event
Gonzalez I.

AI Match Summary

Pena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
35%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Pena here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Pena
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pena
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Aoiz
2:1
Feb 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pena
0:2
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Aoiz
4:2
Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Aoiz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 41 / 100
Pena 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Aoiz scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Aoiz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Pena
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
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Pena

(Away)
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)