Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Butlion C.

AI Match Summary

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
6%
Draws
90%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won more games recently than AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 24
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Polish Cup Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
4:0
May 10, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Polish Cup Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Butlion C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 10 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Czarni Sosnowiec W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Czarni Sosnowiec W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Home)
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Page 1 of 6

Czarni Sosnowiec W

(Away)
22 Jul
Czarni Sosnowiec W
7 : 1
WFC Lusso W
18 Jul
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 5
Czarni Sosnowiec W
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
16 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
2 : 5
GKS Katowice W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)