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AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jagodzinska R.
70' Event
Fabova K.
79' Event
Sworska L.

AI Match Summary

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W in this Ekstraliga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
20%
Draws
6%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have won more games recently than Lech-UAM Poznan W.
  • Win probability leans AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 20%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Lech-UAM Poznan W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
3:1
May 24, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagodzinska R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabova K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sworska L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 85 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Lech-UAM Poznan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lech-UAM Poznan W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS Lech-UAM Poznan W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Home)
03 Oct
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
27 Sept
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
29 Aug
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin W
22 Aug
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
16 Aug
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
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Lech-UAM Poznan W

(Away)
03 Oct
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
27 Sept
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
22 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 3
Leczna W
15 Aug
Legia W
4 : 3
Lech-UAM Poznan W
08 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 5
GKS Katowice W
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