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AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UKS SMS Lodz W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W play UKS SMS Lodz W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. UKS SMS Lodz W averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W won 0, UKS SMS Lodz W won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W and 2.38 for UKS SMS Lodz W. This points to a AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
22%
Draws
60%
UKS SMS Lodz W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UKS SMS Lodz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UKS SMS Lodz W.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for UKS SMS Lodz W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W UKS SMS Lodz W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:6
Sep 13, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipczak P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pagowska Z.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 18 / 100
UKS SMS Lodz W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W UKS SMS Lodz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS UKS SMS Lodz W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667