Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apafut vs Nova Prata

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2025
Apafut Logo

Apafut

5 - 2
FT
Nova Prata Logo

Nova Prata

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Segabinazzi D.
37' Event
Segabinazzi D.
44' Event
Parisotto J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apafut in this Gaucho 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apafut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Apafut
30%
Draws
33%
Nova Prata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apafut lately — more wins on the board than Nova Prata.
  • Model gives Apafut a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 15%
Nova Prata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Nova Prata
Matches Played 23 8
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs Nova Prata
5:2
Sep 28, 2025 Gaucho 3
Nova Prata vs Apafut
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parisotto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Nova Prata Compare

Top Goalscorer Segabinazzi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 57 / 100
Nova Prata 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Nova Prata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Apafut found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

Nova Prata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 8 matches.

Apafut has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS Nova Prata
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
05 Aug
Apafut
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
02 Aug
Passo Fundo
1 : 0
Apafut
Page 1 of 5

Nova Prata

(Away)
16 Nov
Apafut
5 : 2
Nova Prata
09 Nov
Nova Prata
2 : 2
Clube 1992
02 Nov
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Nova Prata
26 Oct
Nova Prata
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
22 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
Nova Prata
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Guarani 8 8 0 0 25:3 24
2 Apafut 8 4 2 2 18:10 16
3 Clube 1992 8 1 4 3 8:14 9
4 Nova Prata 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
5 EC Novo Horizonte 8 0 2 6 1:23 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 SC Rio Grande 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
3 Riograndense 6 2 2 2 11:3 8
4 Sao Gabriel 6 0 1 5 2:20 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)