Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apafut vs Passo Fundo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Apafut have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Passo Fundo's 1.48 scored and 0.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Apafut have won 0 to Passo Fundo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Passo Fundo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Apafut
30%
Draws
38%
Passo Fundo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Passo Fundo come out ahead of Apafut on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Passo Fundo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 20%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Passo Fundo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Apafut
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 32 / 100
Passo Fundo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Passo Fundo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apafut scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Apafut stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Passo Fundo let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS Passo Fundo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 1
Apafut
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Page 1 of 6

Passo Fundo

(Away)
10 Oct
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Passo Fundo 4
Brasil de Farroupilha 0
Santa Cruz RS 0
Apafut 2
Veranopolis 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -