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Aparecida EC U20 vs Jataiense U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aparecida EC U20 play Jataiense U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aparecida EC U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Jataiense U20 averaged 0.96 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Aparecida EC U20 won 0, Jataiense U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.46 for Aparecida EC U20 and 1.34 for Jataiense U20. This points to a Aparecida EC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aparecida EC U20
26%
Draws
27%
Jataiense U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Aparecida EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Aparecida EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Jataiense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.46 vs 1.34 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Aparecida EC U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Jataiense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC U20 Jataiense U20
Matches Played 15 24
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecida EC U20 vs Jataiense U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Franca Brito M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Jataiense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyverson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC U20 46 / 100
Jataiense U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC U20 Jataiense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aparecida EC U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aparecida EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Jataiense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC U20 scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Jataiense U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aparecida EC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jataiense U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 18
0.80 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305