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Aparecida EC vs Goiatuba EC

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Goiano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goiatuba EC in this Goiano 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goiatuba EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aparecida EC
30%
Draws
47%
Goiatuba EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goiatuba EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Goiatuba EC have won more games recently than Aparecida EC.
  • Model gives Goiatuba EC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Goiatuba EC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 19%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Goiatuba EC
Matches Played 37 36
Wins 12 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Goiatuba EC
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 Goiano 2
Goiatuba EC vs Aparecida EC
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Goiatuba EC
0:1
Oct 7, 2021 Goiano 2
Goiatuba EC vs Aparecida EC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 28 / 100
Goiatuba EC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Goiatuba EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goiatuba EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aparecida EC scored in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Goiatuba EC has conceded goals in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Aparecida EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goiatuba EC
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida EC

(Home)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
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Goiatuba EC

(Away)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goiatuba EC 10 7 1 2 15:5 22
2 Morrinhos 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
3 Inhumas 10 5 2 3 14:6 17
4 Anapolina 10 4 1 5 17:14 13
5 Goiania 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
6 Aparecida EC 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2022 (Main)