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Stadium Background

Aparecida EC vs Guanabara City

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aparecida EC play Guanabara City in the Goiano 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aparecida EC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Guanabara City averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Aparecida EC won 0, Guanabara City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Aparecida EC and 1.56 for Guanabara City. This points to a Guanabara City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aparecida EC
23%
Draws
48%
Guanabara City
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Guanabara City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Aparecida EC picked up more points recently compared to Guanabara City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 15%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Guanabara City
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Guanabara City
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 29 / 100
Guanabara City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Guanabara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guanabara City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aparecida EC attacking → ← attacking Guanabara City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Guanabara City let in goals in 57% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aparecida EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guanabara City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 37
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463