Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida

1 - 5

Beira Mar

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Serio T.

Own Goal

22'

Silva D.

28'

Silva D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Aparecida

11%

Draws

80%

Beira Mar

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Aparecida haven't matched Beira Mar's recent run of results.
Model gives Beira Mar a 80% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%

Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aparecida	Beira Mar
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	9	11
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida vs Beira Mar

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:5

Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Beira Mar vs Aparecida

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva D.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Abdul D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 10 / 100

Beira Mar 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aparecida Beira Mar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aparecida scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Beira Mar has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Aparecida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS Beira Mar

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rebordosa	26	17	7	2	41:17	58
2	Leca	26	14	9	3	50:23	51
3	Cinfaes	26	10	10	6	33:21	40
4	Beira Mar	26	10	8	8	30:22	38
5	FC Alpendorada	26	9	11	6	30:22	38
6	Florgrade	26	9	10	7	28:28	37
7	Vila Mea	26	7	13	6	29:28	34
8	Uniao Lamas	26	9	6	11	27:33	33
9	SC Salgueiros	26	7	11	8	20:19	32
10	Anadia	26	7	9	10	27:33	30
11	Aparecida	26	9	4	13	36:51	28
12	GD Resende	26	6	10	10	27:31	28
13	SC Vila Real	26	5	12	9	23:30	27
14	CD Gouveia	26	1	4	21	14:57	7