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Aparecida vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Serio T.
Own Goal
22' Event
Silva D.
28' Event
Silva D.

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aparecida
30%
Draws
35%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aparecida haven't matched Beira Mar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida Beira Mar
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Beira Mar
1:5
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Aparecida
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Abdul D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 34 / 100
Beira Mar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aparecida scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Beira Mar has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Aparecida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS Beira Mar
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 50%
83% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
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Beira Mar

(Away)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)