Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo, Aparecida de Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Darlan
15' Event
Lauro
27'
Lauro

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aparecidense
30%
Draws
47%
Centro Oeste
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Centro Oeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Aparecidense average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Centro Oeste's 0.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aparecidense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 68%
Centro Oeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecidense Centro Oeste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Goiano
Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
4:2
Jan 11, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Darlan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lauro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Centro Oeste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense 41 / 100
Centro Oeste 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecidense Centro Oeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecidense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Aparecidense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Aparecidense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Centro Oeste lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecidense VS Centro Oeste
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecidense

(Home)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2
Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0
Aparecidense
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Centro Oeste

(Away)
18 Feb
Aparecidense
4 : 0
Centro Oeste
14 Feb
Centro Oeste
4 : 2
Aparecidense
07 Feb
CRAC
3 : 0
Centro Oeste
01 Feb
Centro Oeste
1 : 0
Goiatuba EC
29 Jan
Centro Oeste
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Aparecidense 6
Centro Oeste 4