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Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo, Aparecida de Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Darlan
15' Event
Lauro
27'
Lauro

AI Match Summary

Aparecidense in this Goiano tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aparecidense
39%
Draws
31%
Centro Oeste
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Aparecidense have won more games recently than Centro Oeste.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Aparecidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aparecidense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 68%
Centro Oeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecidense Centro Oeste
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Goiano
Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
4:2
Jan 11, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Darlan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lauro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Centro Oeste Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense 41 / 100
Centro Oeste 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecidense Centro Oeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Aparecidense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Aparecidense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Centro Oeste lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecidense VS Centro Oeste
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecidense

(Home)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2
Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0
Aparecidense
Page 1 of 7

Centro Oeste

(Away)
18 Feb
Aparecidense
4 : 0
Centro Oeste
14 Feb
Centro Oeste
4 : 2
Aparecidense
07 Feb
CRAC
3 : 0
Centro Oeste
01 Feb
Centro Oeste
1 : 0
Goiatuba EC
29 Jan
Centro Oeste
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Aparecidense6
Centro Oeste4