Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo, Aparecida de Goiânia

Aparecidense

0 - 1

Luverdense

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Pedro Bortoluzo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Serie D matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luverdense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Aparecidense

35%

Draws

43%

Luverdense

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luverdense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Luverdense lately — more wins on the board than Aparecidense.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Luverdense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Aparecidense Clean Sheet 17%

Luverdense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aparecidense	Luverdense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	11	10
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.58	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.45	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie D

Luverdense vs Aparecidense

1:0

Apr 18, 2026 Serie D

Aparecidense vs Luverdense

0:1

Jun 7, 2025 Serie D

Luverdense vs Aparecidense

3:1

May 31, 2025 Serie D

Aparecidense vs Luverdense

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Bortoluzo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense 31 / 100

Luverdense 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aparecidense Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luverdense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecidense scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Aparecidense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luverdense let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecidense VS Luverdense

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecidense

(Home)

27 Jun

Capital

4 : 0

Aparecidense

20 Jun

Aparecidense

1 : 1

Capital

07 Jun

Gama

2 : 2

Aparecidense

30 May

Aparecidense

1 : 1

Primavera AC

24 May

Luverdense

1 : 0

Aparecidense

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Luverdense

(Away)

26 Jul

ABC

4 : 1

Luverdense

18 Jul

Luverdense

0 : 0

ABC

12 Jul

Guapore

0 : 0

Luverdense

04 Jul

Luverdense

1 : 0

Guapore

28 Jun

Luverdense

1 : 1

Ceilandia

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