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Apeldoorn vs Haarlem Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010
Fri, Mar 26, 2010
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apeldoorn host Haarlem in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem are expected to control this from the start. Haarlem have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Apeldoorn have conceded 2 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Apeldoorn have won 1 to Haarlem's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2010, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 0.63) back Haarlem to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apeldoorn
25%
Draws
35%
Haarlem
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Apeldoorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Apeldoorn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Haarlem's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 20%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apeldoorn Haarlem
Matches Played 14 2
Wins 3 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Haarlem
0:0
Aug 24, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Apeldoorn
0:0
Dec 19, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Apeldoorn
1:0
Sep 26, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Haarlem
2:0
Jan 11, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Apeldoorn
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apeldoorn 20 / 100
Haarlem 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apeldoorn Haarlem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haarlem has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Solid form: Apeldoorn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Apeldoorn scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Apeldoorn VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apeldoorn

(Home)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

Haarlem

(Away)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)