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APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20

Australia Australia

NPL NSW U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW U20 game between APIA Leichhardt U20 and Sutherland Sharks U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
APIA Leichhardt U20
15%
Draws
47%
Sutherland Sharks U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutherland Sharks U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sutherland Sharks U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
APIA Leichhardt U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Sutherland Sharks U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt U20 Sutherland Sharks U20
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.44 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW U20
Sutherland Sharks U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW U20
APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt U20 22 / 100
Sutherland Sharks U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt U20 Sutherland Sharks U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt U20 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Sutherland Sharks U20 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

APIA Leichhardt U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt U20 VS Sutherland Sharks U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt U20

(Home)
08 Aug
St George Saints U20
4 : 1
APIA Leichhardt U20
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic U20
0 : 3
APIA Leichhardt U20
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt U20
1 : 0
UNSW U20
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U20
0 : 4
APIA Leichhardt U20
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt U20
3 : 2
Sydney FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Sutherland Sharks U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks U20
4 : 2
Sydney FC U20
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks U20
6 : 0
Wollongong Wolves U20
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden U20
1 : 2
Sutherland Sharks U20
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks U20
3 : 1
Sydney Olympic U20
11 Jul
Manly Utd U20
1 : 2
Sutherland Sharks U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt U20 27 22 2 3 66:23 68
2 Sydney Utd U20 27 17 6 4 82:40 57
3 NWS Spirit U20 27 15 4 8 65:49 49
4 Marconi Stallions U20 27 14 6 7 48:25 48
5 Manly Utd U20 27 14 4 9 56:34 46
6 Sydney FC U20 27 11 9 7 59:48 42
7 Sutherland Sharks U20 27 12 4 11 57:47 40
8 SD Raiders U20 27 12 4 11 47:48 40
9 Wollongong Wolves U20 27 10 8 9 49:52 38
10 Blacktown City U20 27 11 4 12 48:61 37
11 UNSW U20 27 9 6 12 51:69 33
12 Western Sydney Wanderers U20 27 10 2 15 53:62 32
13 St. George City U20 27 8 6 13 57:63 30
14 Rockdale Ilinden U20 27 8 5 14 35:58 29
15 St George Saints U20 27 3 6 18 40:77 15
16 Sydney Olympic U20 27 0 4 23 24:81 4
Promotion - NPL NSW U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW U20 (Play Offs)