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APIA Leichhardt vs Marconi Stallions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Jesic M.
90' Event
Sciuriaga L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
APIA Leichhardt
22%
Draws
60%
Marconi Stallions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Marconi Stallions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Marconi Stallions haven't matched APIA Leichhardt's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Marconi Stallions taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 19%
Marconi Stallions Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Marconi Stallions
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 23 22
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Marconi Stallions
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Marconi Stallions
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Marconi Stallions
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Sciuriaga L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Marconi Stallions Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 20 / 100
Marconi Stallions 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Marconi Stallions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marconi Stallions let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Marconi Stallions
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions24174345:1555
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd24163535:1751
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13Blacktown City24671133:3925
14St. George City24671122:4025
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019