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APIA Leichhardt vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park
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Match Events

27' Event
Griffiths L.
75' Event
Najjar M.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt host Rockdale Ilinden in the NPL NSW. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Rockdale Ilinden have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while APIA Leichhardt have conceded 1 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, APIA Leichhardt have won 4 to Rockdale Ilinden's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.25) point toward APIA Leichhardt. APIA Leichhardt in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
APIA Leichhardt
30%
Draws
34%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rockdale Ilinden.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for APIA Leichhardt.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 19%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Rockdale Ilinden
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
1:4
Mar 30, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Rockdale Ilinden
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Najjar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 36 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Rockdale Ilinden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Rockdale Ilinden let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

APIA Leichhardt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rockdale Ilinden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Rockdale Ilinden
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715