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APIA Leichhardt vs SD Raiders

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ortiz P.
34' Event
Ortiz P.
43' Event
Fong C.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
APIA Leichhardt
15%
Draws
39%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APIA Leichhardt lately — more wins on the board than SD Raiders.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on APIA Leichhardt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 16%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt SD Raiders
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 22 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs SD Raiders
3:1
May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fong C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Chianese N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 48 / 100
SD Raiders 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt SD Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: SD Raiders conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS SD Raiders
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2
St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 7

SD Raiders

(Away)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)