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APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney
APIA Leichhardt Logo

APIA Leichhardt

1 - 3
FT
Sydney Utd Logo

Sydney Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Krslovic M.
30' Event
Jennings L.
56' Event
Segreto J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
APIA Leichhardt
20%
Draws
52%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney Utd haven't matched APIA Leichhardt's recent run of results.
  • Sydney Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • APIA Leichhardt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APIA Leichhardt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Sydney Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
1:3
Aug 23, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
0:0
Aug 12, 2026 Australia Cup
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
2:1
May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Segreto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Krslovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jennings L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 24 / 100
Sydney Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Sydney Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sydney Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Sydney Utd
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2
St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
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Sydney Utd

(Away)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
APIA Leichhardt -
TBD -
Marconi Stallions 1
NWS Spirit 3
Sydney Utd -
TBD -
Sutherland Sharks 1
Manly Utd 2
Semi-finals
APIA Leichhardt 3
NWS Spirit 0
Sydney Utd 3
Manly Utd 1
Final
APIA Leichhardt 1
Sydney Utd 3